Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Monday (August 12, 2024) that the Ukrainian army’s incursion into the Kursk region, which has caused more than 100,000 civilians to flee and embarrassed the Kremlin, is an attempt by Kyiv to stop Moscow’s offensive in eastern Ukraine’s Donbas region and gain leverage in possible future peace talks.
Russian forces are still scrambling to respond to the surprise Ukrainian attack after almost a week of fierce fighting, but Mr. Putin insisted Moscow’s army will prevail.
Speaking at a meeting with top security and defense officials, Mr. Putin said, โthe attack that began August 6, 2024 appeared to reflect Kyivโs attempt to gain a better negotiating position in possible future talks to end the war.โ
He argued that Ukraine may have hoped to cause public unrest in Russia with the attack, adding that it has failed to achieve that goal, and claimed that the number of volunteers to join the Russian military has increased because of the assault. He said, โthe Russian military is driving on with its eastern Ukraine offensive regardless.โ
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โIt’s obvious that the enemy will keep trying to destabilise the situation in the border zone to try to destabilise the domestic political situation in our country,โ Mr. Putin said.
Acting Kursk Governorย Alexei Smirnov reported to Mr. Putin that Ukrainian forces had pushed 12 kilometers (7.5 miles) into the Kursk region across a 40-kilometer (25-mile) front and currently control 28 Russian settlements.
Mr. Smirnov said that 12 civilians have been killed and 121 others, including 10 children, have been wounded in the operation. โAbout 121,000 people have been evacuated or left the areas affected by fighting on their own,โ he said.
โTracking down all the Ukrainian diversionary units roaming the region is difficult,โ Mr. Smirnov said, noting that some are using fake Russian IDs.
The Governor of the Belgorod region adjacent to Kursk also announced the evacuation of people from a district near the Ukrainian border, describing Monday (August 12) morning as โalarmingโ but giving no detail.
Ukrainian forces swiftly rolled into the town of Sudzha about 10 kilometers (6 miles) over the border after launching the attack. They reportedly still hold the western part of the town, which is the site of an important natural gas transit station.
The Ukrainian operation is taking place under tight secrecy, and its goals โ especially whether Kyiv’s forces aim to hold territory or are staging hit-and-run raids โ remain unclear. The stunning maneuver that caught the Kremlin’s forces unawares counters Russia’s unrelenting effort in recent months to punch through Ukrainian defenses at selected points along the front line in eastern Ukraine.
Russia has seen previous incursions into its territory during the nearly 2 1/2-year war, but the foray into the Kursk region marked the largest attack on its soil since World War II, constituting a milestone in the hostilities. It is also the first time the Ukrainian army has spearheaded an incursion rather than pro-Ukraine Russian fighters.
The advance has delivered a blow to Mr. Putin’s efforts to pretend that life in Russia has largely remained unaffected by the war. State propaganda has tried to play down the attack, emphasising the authorities’ efforts to help residents of the region and seeking to distract attention from the military’s failure to prepare for the attack and quickly repel it.
Kursk residents recorded videos lamenting they had to flee the border area, leaving behind their belongings, and pleading with Mr. Putin for help. But Russia’s state-controlled media kept a tight lid on any expression of discontent.
Retired Gen. Andrei Gurulev, a member of the lower house of the Russian parliament, criticized the military for failing to properly protect the border.
โRegrettably, the group of forces protecting the border didn’t have its own intelligence assets,โ he said on his messaging app channel. โNo one likes to see the truth in reports, everybody just wants to hear that all is good.โ The combat inside Russia rekindled questions about whether Ukraine was using weaponry supplied by NATO members. Some Western countries have balked at allowing Ukraine to use their military aid to hit Russian soil, fearing it would fuel an escalation that might drag Russia and NATO into war.
Though it’s not clear what weapons Ukraine is using across the border, Russian media widely reported that U.S. Bradley and German Marder armoured infantry vehicles were there. It was not possible to independently verify that claim.
Ukraine has already used U.S. weapons to strike inside Russia. But Italian Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani said in an interview published on Monday (August 12, 2024) that the weapons provided by his country โcannot be used to attack Russia on its territoryโ.
Meanwhile, German Defence Ministry spokesperson Arne Collatz said on Monday (August 12, 2024) that legal experts agree that โinternational law provides for a state that is defending itself also to defend itself on the territory of the attacker. That is clear from our point of view, tooโ.
Russia’s Defence Ministry said on Monday (August 12, 2024) that reinforcements sent to the area backed by air force and artillery had fended off seven attacks by Ukrainian units near Martynovka, Borki and Korenevo during the previous 24 hours.
The Ministry said, โRussian forces also blocked an attempt by Ukrainian mobile groups to forge deep into the Russian territory near Kauchuk.โ
โRussian air force and artillery also struck concentrations of Ukrainian troops and equipment near Sudzha, Kurilovka, Pekhovo, Lyubimovo and several other settlements,โ it said. โWarplanes and artillery hit Kyivโs reserves in Ukraineโs Sumy region across the border,โ it added.
Pasi Paroinen, an analyst with the Finland-based Black Bird Group open-source intelligence agency, which monitors the war, said the toughest phase of Ukraine’s incursion is likely to begin now as Russian reserves enter the fray.
Ukraine’s progress on Russian territory โis challenging the operational and strategic assumptionsโ of the Kremlin’s forces, according to the Institute for the Study of War. It could compel Russia to deploy more military assets to the long border between the two countries, the Washington-based think tank said in an assessment late Sunday (August 11, 2024).
It described the Russian forces responding to the incursion as โhastily assembled and disparate”.
